Insight
April 2026 Data Show Calmer Markets, but Anxiety Still Runs Deep
April 2026 is coming to a close, and as usual we are reviewing the key statistics on financial market performance and our Health Scores. The picture that emerges is one of investors somewhat calmer than in March, but with concerns [+]
May Seasonality: What the Statistics Are Signaling
May has traditionally been the month that divides market participants between those quick to invoke the old saying “sell in May and go away” and those who dismiss it as mere calendar folklore. Our seasonality analysis for May, covering more [+]
Dollar and Emerging Equities: Negative Correlation Holds Firm
The relationship between the US dollar and emerging equity markets follows a simple logic: when the dollar appreciates, emerging assets tend to suffer—their currencies weaken, dollar-denominated debt becomes more expensive to service, and capital flows shift toward the United States. [+]
Latin American Equities: Three Markets, Three Different Stories
The equity markets of Brazil, Argentina, and Mexico currently share an unusual characteristic: the structural volatility of all three is compressed to historical lows at the same time.
April 2026 Correlations: Bonds Lose Their Hedge, Energy Moves to Its Own Beat
There are times when markets stop behaving as expected. What we are experiencing in these weeks clearly falls into that category. The April 2026 analysis of correlations among the assets monitored by KbMeter has identified two interesting structural changes, both [+]
Financial Markets on Pause: What the Volatility Scanner Is Signaling
Twenty-four out of the 131 financial instruments monitored by KBMeter are today showing their structural volatility at historical lows simultaneously. This is not an isolated signal in a single market: it simultaneously affects U.S. and European equities, Latin American emerging [+]
Deep Dive: Platinum Pullback Seen as Healthy After Prolonged Surge
Platinum rose by 127% in 2025, reaching a new all-time high of $2,125/oz in early January 2026, before partially correcting. The absolute peak was reached on January 26, 2026, at $2,920/oz, from which a significant correction began.
Dollar and VIX, correlation has turned positive
The war in Iran has pushed the dollar back into doing what is typically expected of it during crises: rising. Many analysts have highlighted this in recent days, noting how the correlation between the dollar and the VIX — the [+]
US Consumer Confidence Intermarket Analysis: Early Signs of Recovery in April 2026
The intermarket analysis of U.S. consumer confidence shows an initial sign of improvement in April 2026 compared to the uncertainty that had characterized previous months. The relative strength between discretionary and defensive consumption has moved back above its long-term moving [+]
U.S. Sectors: Selective Rotation Extends Into April 2026
The U.S. equity market is currently in an expansion phase, but with internal signals that call for caution. The sector analysis for April 2026 suggests the continuation of a selective rotation, with some notable elements.
Asset Allocation: April 2026 Investment Ideas
In the April 2026 outlook, we highlighted how the central question markets are asking is the degree of transience of the ongoing energy shock. In our asset allocation ideas for April 2026, we attempt to translate the possible answers into [+]
Crypto as Hedge: The March 2026 Anomaly Worth Understanding
March 2026 was a difficult month for portfolios: the S&P 500 fell by 5.2%, European markets lost between 5% and 8%, and gold—traditionally considered a safe haven—surprised everyone with a 12% drop. In this environment, Bitcoin closed the month unchanged [+]
Financial Markets: April 2026 Outlook
After a month of March marked by a rapid shift in equity market conditions, April emerges as a crucial month given the many unresolved issues: the war in Iran, inflation, growth prospects, earnings season, and 2026 guidance. In our April [+]
Equities: Why the Tech Sector Remains Under Pressure?
The U.S. technology sector closed the first quarter of 2026 in a condition that our indicators define as structural weakness. The KBMeter Health Score of XLK — the ETF that tracks the Technology segment of the S&P 500 — stands [+]
March 2026 Stats Reveal a Shockwave Across Financial Markets
We are back with our regular monthly review of KB Meter’s indicator statistics. In March 2026, the picture that emerges across financial markets resembles an earthquake, striking for both the speed of deterioration and the breakdown of traditional correlations.
Energy Crisis Clouds Growth Outlook; High Yield Spreads Emerge as Key Risk Gauge
Financial markets are reacting to the energy crisis on multiple fronts, but the assessment of the negative effects on the global economy still appears relatively cautious. The divergence between the energy sector and high-yield bond prices is among the most [+]
Deep Dive: current situation and outlook for long-term US Treasuries
As we also saw in yesterday’s analysis, the performance of long-term government bonds is certainly one of the most closely watched elements by investors. In today’s deep dive, we focus on U.S. Treasuries and analyze the current situation and possible [+]
Inflation or Demand Destruction? Three Intermarket Signals Revealing How Investors Are Pricing the Middle East Crisis
Investors, analysts, and market observers continue to closely monitor developments in the Middle East. One of the few certainties emerging is that even if the military conflict were to end quickly—which we all clearly hope for—the consequences for the global [+]
Equities and Oil: An Unstable, Regime-Dependent Relationship
Oil remains a key protagonist in financial markets, but what is its relationship with equities? And does it influence European equities more than U.S. equities? To answer these questions, we analyzed the evolution of correlation and beta between these assets [+]
Stocks and Bonds: The 200-Day Moving Average Divide
Over the ten years between March 2016 and March 2026, the S&P 500—represented by the SPY ETF—spent only 15.6% of the time below its 200-day moving average by more than 1%: 394 trading sessions out of 2,520. For the remaining [+]
