Insight
Markets discount prolongation of the Fed’s restrictive policy
Stock markets paused in the face of macro news coming out of the US towards the end of the week. The PCE index, in fact, accelerated in January and at the same time consumption continued to grow. At this point, [+]
Financial markets question continuation of restrictive monetary policy
Inflation and interest rates are still at the centre of the financial markets’ thinking. The latest data from the US confirms that prices are falling, but the monthly trend in January indicates that the speed of inflation’s descent could be [+]
Financial markets, still doubtful between inflation and interest rates
In the past week, financial markets continued to question the future course of inflation and interest rates. Fed Governor Powell reiterated that there is still a long and winding road ahead to bring inflation back to 2%. And the latest [+]
ECB, Fed and BoE, new round of rate hikes
Last week was dominated by news on inflation in the Eurozone and the decisions of the world’s three major central banks. The ECB, FED and BoE decided for a further rise but at the same time sent encouraging messages about [+]
Quarterly earnings season takes centre stage in the markets
The quarterly earnings season was in full swing and the results of the major US companies drove the week on the stock markets to some extent, along with the now customary discussion on the evolution of monetary policy in the [+]
For stock markets first stop in 2023
Last week, equity markets marked the first halt in the recovery phase that had characterised this early 2023. In Europe, in addition to geopolitical uncertainties, the ECB’s still very cautious statements weighed heavily, as it does not seem willing to [+]
US inflation data raise pause expectations for FED
US inflation data continue to indicate a cooling of consumer prices, with the peak now seemingly behind us. Financial markets continue to believe that the Fed’s halt to hikes is imminent, even though very cautious comments are coming from members [+]
Optimism for financial markets in the first week of 2023
As the first week of 2023 draws to a close, financial markets are being carried away by a wave of optimism. Labour market data in the US and further reopenings in China are giving US indices their best daily performance [+]
Little news on financial markets in the last week of 2022
The last week of 2022 brings no big news to financial markets. Investor concerns continue to oscillate between inflation persistence and recession risk. Also complicating matters is the new wave of covid in China. On the interest rate front, Lagarde’s [+]
In the week before Christmas, inflation was still the main theme
In the week before Christmas it was still inflation that was the main theme in financial markets. From Japan came the first potential signal of a change of course from the BoJ, with the raising of the band for 10-year [+]
Central banks call a halt to stock markets
From the central banks came an icy shower for stock markets, with the governors of the FED and ECB reiterating that rate hikes will continue. Words that overshadowed the macro data on inflation, which continues to slow. The concern for [+]
Markets, great expectations for ECB and Fed
What we could call a week of transition has just passed. All eyes are on the decisions to be taken in the coming days by the ECB and the Fed. Expectations are for a more moderate rate hike than previous [+]
Inflation and labour market make financial markets volatile
Last week in the markets was characterised by sudden changes in mood. Concerns about the protests in China soon gave way to Fed Governor Powell’s words, who was hopeful about a soft landing for the US economy. Eurozone inflation data [+]
FED minutes and PMI surveys support markets
The week just gone was marked by the release of the minutes of the FED and ECB meetings. A reading of these documents seems to indicate a reduction in the pace of interest rate rises in the coming months, with [+]
The idea of a slowdown in the rate hike strengthens in the markets
The markets continue to look at the health of the economy on the one hand and the words of the central bank governors on the other. Thus the idea of a slowdown in the rate hike is reinforced, and on [+]
Between hope for inflation and cryptocurrency crisis, markets choose the former
The week was dominated by data on US inflation, which continued to fall in October. Hopes about the end of the FED’s restrictive monetary policy phase were rekindled and stock markets rose, with technology leading the way. The euphoria over [+]
Central banks send mixed signals to financial markets
The past week was characterised by many central bank decisions. The RBA, BoE and FED decided on further interest rate hikes, but sending mixed signals and reviving the assumption that the restrictive monetary policy cycle is in its final chapters. [+]
A week of mixed earnings reports did not stop stock rally
A week of mixed quarterly reports, particularly negative for the technology sector, did not stop the rally in the stock market, while on the interest rate front we note the differing views of the ECB board (rates up 75bps but [+]
Rally from quarterly reports in a volatile week
The week on the financial markets began with good quarterly results from US banks and ended with an eye on monetary policy, in a quarterly rally that well represents the volatile climate on the markets at this time. In the [+]
US inflation data and the UK government’s spin
The week just gone on the financial markets was dominated by US inflation data and the UK government’s spin on fiscal policy choices. What ‘triumphed’ in the end was once again concern about new rate hikes and a subsequent possible [+]
