Insight
VIX Holds Above 20 for Two Weeks: What It Means for U.S. Stocks
The VIX, i.e. the volatility index of the U.S. equity market—what commentators call the “fear gauge”—has been above the 20 level since the end of February. Initially driven by uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration’s tariffs, it was then fundamentally reshaped [+]
Oil and 30-Year Treasuries: Why Their Correlation Matters for Global Markets
Over the past 90 days, the correlation between WTI crude oil and the US 30-year Treasury yield has gone through three completely different regimes: independence, negative correlation, and positive correlation. The transition from one regime to another clearly illustrates how [+]
Chinese Equities Hold Up Better Than U.S. Markets Amid Middle East Crisis
Intermarket analysis shows that Chinese equities have managed to withstand the shock of the Middle East crisis better than U.S. equities. This is not a coincidence—behind the numbers in the relative strength ratio lie structural changes that have developed over [+]
Cross-Asset Correlations Shift Sharply After Turbulent Weeks
Cross-asset correlation analysis reveals significant shifts, albeit still within a short-term context. Nevertheless, when historically stable correlations reverse within just a few weeks, the message is fairly clear: we are operating in an exceptional market regime that demands an extra [+]
Intermarket View on U.S. Consumer Confidence: Uncertainty Remains in March 2026
Intermarket analysis of U.S. consumer confidence at the beginning of March 2026 indicates a climate that remains uncertain, although there are some signs of improvement. The relative strength ratio between discretionary and defensive consumption remains below its long-term moving average.
US Sector Rotation: Investors Shift Toward Defensives, Cyclicals Lose Momentum
The Iranian crisis is leaving clear marks on the sectoral structure of the S&P 500. Sector rotation analysis — based on data as of March 7, 2026 — shows a market that is still formally in an expansion phase, but [+]
Gold, Oil and US equities: a comparison
At a time when the Iranian crisis dominates headlines and investors are seeking safe havens, we compared three assets representing distinct positioning strategies: gold as the quintessential defensive store of value, WTI crude oil as the most direct beneficiary of [+]
Financial Markets Outlook for March 2026
The March 2026 outlook for financial markets can only be described as complex—at least on the surface. Geopolitical tensions culminating in war in Iran, the potential inflationary spillovers, and the ongoing debate around artificial intelligence remain the dominant themes shaping [+]
European Sector Equities: Rising Dispersion Signals a Phase of Differentiation
Europe’s sector equity market appears to be showing a well-defined characteristic: the market is selecting. Sector dispersion has reached 39 points, a level that historically precedes rotation moves and signals an ongoing phase of differentiation.
Financial markets on alert (but not in panic) over the war in Iran: are they preparing for a scenario of prolonged tension?
In our regular review of the most interesting patterns detected by our scoring system, we are focusing in particular on the signals linked to the escalation of the Middle East crisis that has led to war in Iran. Precious metals [+]
Elevated Correlation Between Technology Stocks and Bitcoin: Temporary or Structural?
The correlation between the U.S. technology sector and Bitcoin has reached 0.81 over the past 30 days, placing it in the 88th percentile of the historical distribution. This is an extreme level, and the most surprising aspect is the speed [+]
February 2026 Statistics: Defensive Rotation into Quality
February 2026 marked a clear improvement in overall technical conditions. The average Health Score rose to 58.3 (+6.9% vs the previous month), with the percentage of instruments in bullish territory jumping from 53% to 68.5%. The most significant development: US [+]
Investment Styles: Value Takes the Lead at the Start of 2026
With AI continuing to represent a source of tension in financial markets, it is particularly interesting to assess how the relationship between the two equity styles—Growth and Value—is evolving. After a recovery in 2025, the Growth style has deteriorated again, [+]
Cyclical Analysis: WTI Crude Oil — cycles aligned to the upside, but is the US-Iran Risk already priced in?
WTI crude oil ends February with a +15.4% rally year-to-date, nearly triple its expected seasonal performance (+6.5%). The reason is well known: tensions between the United States and Iran have brought back the scenario most feared by energy markets—a potential [+]
Deep Dive: After the historic crash, a technical rebound in silver is possible. But the medium-term outlook remains uncertain — and volatility remains elevated
Silver reaches mid-February still shaken by one of the most violent events in commodity market history. The January 30 crash — with a 30% collapse in a single session, the worst since 1980 — has completely reshaped the technical picture. [+]
Deep Dive: French Stocks Hover Near Highs as Luxury Leads; Consolidation Signals Emerge
The CAC 40, the focus of today’s Deep Dive, confirms itself as one of the leading performers in European equities. After reaching a new all-time high of 8,437 points on February 12, the French stock index is consolidating around the [+]
Market Radar (February 16, 2026): Mixed Signals Across Markets, from Equities to Gold
The analysis of KBMeter scores and the main technical indicators reveals a market environment characterized by significant divergences across asset classes and within the equity segment itself.
S&P 500: Expansion with a Defensive Surprise. Here’s February’s Sector Rotation
Our sector analysis places the S&P 500 in an expansion phase, with a sentiment signal classified as risk on and model confidence at 85%. A total of 64% of sectors show a health score above 50, and all 11 monitored [+]
Cyclical Analysis: Between Confirmations and Anomalies, What Outlook for Gold?
Since the beginning of 2026, gold has delivered a return of more than 16%, compared with a historical seasonal expectation of approximately 3.5%. A thirteen-percentage-point deviation from the norm that, from a quantitative standpoint, represents one of the most pronounced [+]
Deep Dive: The S&P 500 Under the Microscope. Conditions Remain Neutral
After a particularly volatile week, we review the current status of the leading U.S. equity index, the S&P 500. Our Deep Dive analysis has thoroughly examined the index, revealing an overall neutral environment, with mixed signals that do not provide [+]
