4 August 2025 - 7:19 AM GMT+1

Last week’s macroeconomic data continues to weigh on financial markets

Financial markets are starting the week trying to interpret the many macroeconomic data released in recent days. On the table are the potential effects of the U.S. tariffs set to take effect on Thursday and Trump’s decision regarding the new Fed Chair. Equities appear uncertain, while corporate bonds continue to rise.

Our macroeconomic dashboards show a slowdown at the end of the week in equity markets, with the S&P 500/VIX ratio falling below the 50-day average and gold regaining some strength against the Dow and the Dollar. Notably, oil responded very mildly to the announcement of further production increases.

On the macro front, the week begins with few highlights, with the only notable release being U.S. factory orders data.

On the earnings front, Palantir and Mitsubishi are expected to report today.

Our forecast analysis suggests an uncertain day for the equity market, while the outlook remains positive for USD-denominated corporate and high-yield bonds. Volatility remains stable.

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NOTES AND WARNINGS

Data compiled by kbmeter.com. Analysis date: 4 August 2025 - 7:19 AM GMT+1
This content is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. All scores and assessments are based on the previous trading day’s closing prices. Futures indications refer to the date and time of the analysis.