Financial Markets Face a Week of Renewed U.S.–China Tensions and Corporate Earnings
The new chapter in the U.S.–China tariff dispute risks adding further uncertainty to financial markets, which had already been showing some signs of weakness in recent days. However, the decline in indicators could pave the way for new gains if Trump’s latest remarks (more conciliatory toward Beijing) are followed by concrete actions, and if this week’s earnings reports provide reassurance about the resilience of the U.S. system.
Our macro dashboards record the sharp slowdown in equities following threats of new U.S. tariffs on China. Sentiment indicators have fallen below their yearly average, while global equities are approaching the 50-day moving average—a resistance level that could allow for a quick rebound. There has also been a sharp decline in commodities, while the bond market currently confirms a short-term sideways phase.
The week begins with few macroeconomic data releases. Figures on Chinese exports and Indian inflation are due soon.
Our forecast analyses reflect the increase in volatility caused by renewed trade tensions. Equities are seen as uncertain, with somewhat stronger positive signals in Europe and Asia. Bonds show a return of positive signals in the corporate segment. Commodities are mixed. Volatility is rising.
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NOTES AND WARNINGS
Data compiled by kbmeter.com. Analysis date: 13 October 2025 - 7:07 AM GMT+1
This content is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. All scores and assessments are based on the previous trading day’s closing prices. Futures indications refer to the date and time of the analysis.
