16 June 2025 - 7:26 AM GMT+1

Financial markets brace for a turbulent week

A decidedly complicated week is beginning for the financial markets. On one side, there are the immediate and long-term repercussions of the war between Israel and Iran; on the other, the issue of tariffs, with the White House still threatening to issue ultimatums. Amid all this, next Wednesday the Federal Reserve will have to decide what to do about interest rates.

In our intermarket dashboards, the return of risk-off sentiment is becoming apparent following the outbreak of war between Israel and Iran. For now, the underlying market setup remains intact. The commodities market is one to watch, with gold and oil driving the general index sharply upward.

On the macroeconomic front, the day brings data on Chinese retail sales and industrial production, as well as the U.S. Empire State Index.

Our forecasting analyses still point to a fundamentally positive outlook for U.S. equities, while significant uncertainty surrounds European and Asian markets. In the commodities sector, the outlook remains positive for gold and oil. The U.S. dollar and Treasury yields are still in a wait-and-see phase. Volatility is expected to rise slightly, particularly in the equity markets.

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NOTES AND WARNINGS

Data compiled by kbmeter.com. Analysis date: 16 June 2025 - 7:26 AM GMT+1
This content is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. All scores and assessments are based on the previous trading day’s closing prices. Futures indications refer to the date and time of the analysis.