US or European equities? Where to invest now
Last Update: 12/04/2025
Is it better to invest in US or European equities? The performance of stock markets on both sides of the Atlantic also reflects expectations of economic developments in the two regions.
Using intermarket and technical analysis tools, we try to answer this question.
One week evaluation (short term)
The overall score obtained by individual assets in the last week. This is a short-term indication
Evaluation at 3 weeks (short term)
The 3-week average of the overall scores obtained by individual assets. This is a short-term indication but less volatile than the one-week figure
Evaluation at 10 weeks (medium term)
The 10-week average of the overall scores obtained by individual assets. This is a medium/long-term indication
Evaluation at 52 weeks (long term)
The 52-week average of the overall scores obtained by individual assets. This is a long-term indication
Market cycle phase of the assets
This table shows the current market phase for each asset. Each asset is analyzed based on its recent price movements and is classified into one of the main market phases: uptrend, downtrend, or sideways. The goal is to provide a quick and clear overview of the market condition for each asset.
Positive/Negative
This table presents forecasts on the volatility and price trends of various assets for the week following 12/04/2025. The predictions are generated using artificial intelligence. The “+” symbol indicates a positive signal for the asset (potential price increase or favorable scenario). The “–” symbol indicates a negative signal (potential price decrease or unfavorable scenario).
Rating chart
The graph below depicts the valuations obtained by each asset over the last 4 weeks. it is useful, combined with the "Positive/Negative", to identify the trend.
Strategy simulation trend
Last Update: 12/04/2025
The chart below represents a simulation of a trading strategy based on opening a long position on the asset(s) that simultaneously receive a positive price signal from the AI models and the best evaluation over the past 3 weeks. The same chart also shows the performance of a Buy & Hold strategy applied to all assets. The chart spans 300 weeks and is rolling, meaning it shifts forward by one week at a time.
Strategy
Weekly return: 0.585455%
Dev.Std: 0.830119%
Buy & Hold
Weekly return: 0.236364%
Weekly Dev.Std: 1.664508%
Strategy
Weekly return: 0.499216%
Annualized Return: 29.5564%
Dev.Std: 0.766665%
Annualized Std.Dev.:" 5.5285%
Buy & Hold
Weekly return: 0.2602%
Annualized Return: 14.4684%
Weekly Dev.Std: 1.50122%
Dev.Std: 10.8255%
Strategy
Weekly return: 0.457726%
Annualized Return: 26.8043%
Dev.Std: 0.970855%
Annualized Std.Dev.:" 7.0009%
Buy & Hold
Weekly return: 0.262876%
Annualized Return: 14.6273%
Weekly Dev.Std: 2.194991%
Annualized Dev.Std: 15.8283%
Selected assets
Infos
How to read our analysis sheets. Each sheet presents a comparison between various financial assets that are part of a specific basket. For example, we may have all the industrial sectors in the S&P500 or the main categories of commodities in the CBOE basket.
The goal of our analysis is to assess how the various assets are performing by comparing them with each other and against a reference index. To do this, we use a series of technical and intermarket indicators, as well as volatility analysis and forecasting tools that employ models managed by artificial intelligence.
The result is summarized in a series of tables that present various information.
- An assessment of the assets over different time horizons that provides a score for each individual element. The asset with the highest score is currently the one most favored by investors.
- An analysis of the evaluations over time to understand their trends, i.e., whether they are improving or deteriorating, which allows us to evaluate the changing perspective of investors toward the various assets under analysis. This information is provided both numerically and through graphs.
- A technical analysis of individual assets that allows us to assess the current situation, i.e., whether we are in an uptrend or downtrend, and adds the projected trend for the following week.
- A comparative analysis of volatility, price forecasts, and evaluation results that indicates a trend for the assets in the upcoming week.
What is the purpose of this data, and how can I use it? The basic idea behind our analysis is to provide a concise overview of how investors are operating at the moment, what they are focusing on, and what they are avoiding. With the help of forecasting analysis, we also provide a trend of asset movements for the upcoming weeks. The analysis, as also shown by the simulation that accompanies each sheet, can be used as informational support for creating a short-term investment strategy.
Reliability indices In the interests of maximum transparency, we propose two reliability indicators for our analyses. The simple reliability index analyses the weeks in which the forecast signal was confirmed by the performance of the reference instrument. The compound index also takes into account the returns recorded.
Summary
*For explanations see the notes at the bottom of the page