Business Cycle

Last Update: 31/01/2026

Looking at the performance of the three major asset classes in the market can help us understand what stage of the economic cycle we are in. Starting from the model developed by Martin Pring in his “Intermarket review” and using our own analysis, we try to see what the markets are telling us at the moment. In which phase are we out of the 6 predicted by Pring?

Summary

One week evaluation (short term)

The overall score obtained by individual assets in the last week. This is a short-term indication

Commodities
0.5200
Stocks
0.4150
Bonds
0.0500

Evaluation at 3 weeks (short term)

The 3-week average of the overall scores obtained by individual assets. This is a short-term indication but less volatile than the one-week figure

Commodities
0.6017
Stocks
0.5350
Bonds
0.2600