6 March 2026

Gold, Oil and US equities: a comparison

At a time when the Iranian crisis dominates headlines and investors are seeking safe havens, we compared three assets representing distinct positioning strategies: gold as the quintessential defensive store of value, WTI crude oil as the most direct beneficiary of geopolitical tensions, and the S&P 500 as a barometer of overall risk appetite.

The relative performance of these three assets paints a picture consistent with the current macroeconomic backdrop. Gold emerges as the preferred allocation in a phase of geopolitical uncertainty, combining defensive characteristics with still-intact appreciation expectations. Oil, while directly supported by the crisis, exhibits an elevated risk profile that makes it suitable only for investors with high volatility tolerance and short time horizons. U.S. equities, meanwhile, are digesting the recent shock and may require additional time before regaining directional conviction.

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