Financial markets remain hostage to uncertainty, awaiting Trump’s address to Congress
Geopolitics, tariffs, and AI continue to dominate investors’ attention. The result is still a neutral sentiment in financial markets, with significant uncertainty and volatility favoring gold, reviving oil, and encouraging diversification toward equity markets considered more attractive than the United States (emerging markets). Two events will capture investors’ attention today: Anthropic will unveil new features for its AI agents; Trump will deliver the State of the Union address before Congress.
Market Weather Map
February 24, 2026
US Equities
Eu Equities
Asia Equities
Commodities
Bonds
Dollar Index
Technology
Gold
Oil
Crypto
Market Summary
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Financial markets are showing a neutral sentiment today. Intermarket analysis highlights a Market Health Score of 43/100 (moderately negative). There is very little new in our intermarket dashboards; the situation remains uncertain and risk indicators stay weak. Among asset classes, noteworthy are the high volatility in commodities and the drop into negative territory of the correlation between equities and bonds.
Pre-Opening Futures: Global futures indicate a moderate risk-off sentiment (-0.03% on average), with the US slightly positive (+0.21%), Europe slightly positive (+0.08%), and Asia negative (-0.68%).
📊 Global Futures – Pre-Opening Sentiment
- Nikkei 225 derived: +1.03%
- FTSE MIB derived: +0.48%
- US Tech 100 derived: +0.32%
- CSI 300: -1.69%
- Hang Seng derived: -1.39%
- TecDAX derived: -0.71%
📄 Detailed Intermarket Analysis
INTERMARKET ANALYSIS - 2026-02-24 ============================================================ MARKET HEALTH SCORE: 43.1/100 SENTIMENT: MODERATELY BEARISH ============================================================ SUMMARY OF MAIN RATIOS ============================================================ DJ/Gold: - Component score: 5.0/100 - Current value: 9.3769 - Position vs EMA50: BELOW - 20-day ROC: -4.96% - 50-day ROC: -17.06% → Flight to safe haven Gold/USD: - Component score: 95.0/100 - Current value: 53.2723 - Position vs EMA50: ABOVE - 20-day ROC: +4.48% - 50-day ROC: +25.65% Oil/Gold: - Component score: 25.0/100 - Current value: 0.0127 - Position vs EMA50: BELOW - 20-day ROC: +3.81% - 50-day ROC: -7.99% → Rising energy demand SP500/VIX: - Component score: 5.0/100 - Current value: 325.4522 - Position vs EMA50: BELOW - 20-day ROC: -24.28% - 50-day ROC: -19.45% → Contracting risk appetite Commodities/T30y: - Component score: 75.0/100 - Current value: 0.2758 - Position vs EMA50: ABOVE - 20-day ROC: -0.09% - 50-day ROC: +8.25% → Economic growth expectations SP500/Nasdaq: - Component score: 95.0/100 - Current value: 0.3022 - Position vs EMA50: ABOVE - 20-day ROC: +2.69% - 50-day ROC: +4.15% ============================================================ CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ============================================================ The market shows signs of weakness. Several ratios are in negative territory. Risk appetite declining. Increase caution. Positioning: DEFENSIVE, favor safe havens. STRONGEST RATIOS: • Gold/USD: 95.0/100 • SP500/Nasdaq: 95.0/100 • Commodities/T30y: 75.0/100 WEAKEST RATIOS: • Oil/Gold: 25.0/100 • DJ/Gold: 5.0/100 • SP500/VIX: 5.0/100 ============================================================ Analysis automatically generated by kbmeter.com Date: 2026-02-24
📄 Detailed Asset Allocation Analysis
ASSET ALLOCATION & REGIME ANALYSIS - 2026-02-24
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MARKET REGIME: RISK-ON - UNSTABLE COMMODITIES
REGIME SCORE: 80.0/100
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TREND AND VOLATILITY ANALYSIS
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GLOBAL EQUITIES (ACWI):
Short Trend (5d): +0.18% | BELOW EMA 10
Medium Trend (20d): +0.37% | ABOVE EMA 50
Long Trend (60d): +5.68% | ABOVE EMA 200
Volatility 5d: 10.8%
Volatility 20d: 13.1%
Volatility 60d: 10.8%
COMMODITIES (DBC):
Medium Trend (20d): +1.89% | ABOVE EMA 50
Volatility 20d: 28.1%
ACWI/BND Correlation (30d): -0.108
REGIME INTERPRETATION:
The market is in a risk-on regime. Equities show positive trends across multiple
time horizons and volatility is contained. Investors favor risky assets.
Suggested positioning: OVERWEIGHT equities.
⚠️ COMMODITIES ALERT: Commodities show elevated volatility. This may
indicate uncertainty about economic growth or unstable supply/demand dynamics.
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ASSET RANKING - WHO IS PERFORMING BEST?
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🥇 1. Global Bonds (BND) - SCORE: 100/100
Price: $74.97
Trend: ABOVE EMA10 | ABOVE EMA50 | ABOVE EMA200
Performance: 5d +0.13% | 20d +1.18% | 60d +1.19%
Volatility: 5d 1.9% | 20d 2.9% | 60d 2.9%
Drawdown: 0.00%
→ Asset in STRONG HEALTH: positive trends and controlled volatility
🥈 2. Commodities (DBC) - SCORE: 90/100
Price: $24.75
Trend: ABOVE EMA10 | ABOVE EMA50 | ABOVE EMA200
Performance: 5d +4.92% | 20d +1.89% | 60d +13.60%
Volatility: 5d 21.6% | 20d 28.1% | 60d 19.5%
Drawdown: -2.17%
→ Asset in STRONG HEALTH: positive trends and controlled volatility
🥉 3. Global Equities (ACWI) - SCORE: 88/100
Price: $146.26
Trend: BELOW EMA10 | ABOVE EMA50 | ABOVE EMA200
Performance: 5d +0.18% | 20d +0.37% | 60d +5.68%
Volatility: 5d 10.8% | 20d 13.1% | 60d 10.8%
Drawdown: -0.98%
→ Asset in STRONG HEALTH: positive trends and controlled volatility
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CORRELATION ANALYSIS - CURRENT vs HISTORICAL
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ACWI/BND:
Current correlation (30d): -0.108
Historical average (1 year): +0.161
Deviation: -0.269
→ Weak correlation: moderate diversification
BND/DBC:
Current correlation (30d): -0.230
Historical average (1 year): -0.176
Deviation: -0.054
ACWI/DBC:
Current correlation (30d): +0.258
Historical average (1 year): +0.166
Deviation: +0.092
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OPERATIONAL SUMMARY
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STRONGEST ASSET: Global Bonds (Score: 100/100)
WEAKEST ASSET: Global Equities (Score: 88/100)
SUGGESTED ACTION: Favor the strongest asset, maintain risk exposure.
DIVERSIFICATION: EXCELLENT - Asset classes are moving independently.
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Analysis automatically generated by kbmeter.com
Date: 2026-02-24
Regarding macro data, today’s agenda includes the Chinese central bank’s decision on prime rates, the weekly ADP report update on the US labor market, US housing price trends for December 2025, and the Conference Board survey on consumer confidence, also in the United States.
On the earnings front, Home Depot is set to report today, another key bellwether for US private consumption trends.
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NOTES AND WARNINGS
Analysis automatically generated by kbmeter.com. Analysis date: 24 February 2026 - 7:34 AM GMT+1
This content is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. All scores and assessments are based on the previous trading day’s closing prices. Futures indications refer to the date and time of the analysis.
